Category Archives: Science

It’s our turn

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One of the subjects mariner has focused on during the TV news blackout is anthropology, especially the evolution of various species of humanoids and when the major integrations occurred. A clear example is the disappearance of Neanderthal when the last ice age subsided, the large animals they specialized in hunting for food went extinct, the plant culture shifted, and the seas rose as the ice melted. At the end, cannibalism was practiced and a recent immigrant, Homo sapiens, emerged to dominate Europe.

Stepping back to a larger ancestry, the first humanoid to emigrate from Africa into Europe was Heidelbergensis (700,000 years ago) who eventually evolved into the Neanderthal with the help of Denisovans who occupied Siberia. In fact, several ‘cousin’ humanoids left Africa during this era as the African climate shifted to create the Sahara desert; generally they moved East to occupy Pacific coast regions and Australia..

Fortunately, Homo sapiens developed in southern Africa and developed there for a longer period and did not migrate to the northern hemisphere until 130,000 years ago. They had become something close to the modern Homo sapiens and quickly dominated the older humanoids who also had the disadvantage of losing an ice age, their intended breeding ground.

Stepping back to an even larger transition, These migrations were caused by an European ice age and an African climate change. It looms as a very large question: What will happen to today’s human population if the planet chooses to create a severe global warming? As usual, we sappiens can’t manage ourselves enough to prepare for such a change – a change irrelevant of plutocracy, racism and classism. Oh well, maybe Alexa can conjure something.

Ancient Mariner

AI’s vision of society is a panopticon

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Atlantic Magazine published an article about AI’s perspective on the shape and function of society: it will perform in the manner of a panopticon.

The panopticon is a design of institutional building with an inbuilt system of control, originated by the English philosopher and social theorist Jeremy Bentham in the 18th century. The concept is to allow all prisoners of an institution to be observed by a single corrections officer, without the inmates knowing whether or not they are being watched.

Mariner did not realize how frequently this term is being used today until after the Atlantic article. Despite being originated as a philosophical metaphor, it is as popular as Schrodinger’s cat and Pavlov’s dog. It also is more interpretive as a description of the future than mariner’s two movies of similar prediction, 1984 and Matrix.

The single corrections officer can be interpreted as a bucketful of AI corporations in operations today. Just to mention a few – Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, Meta, Google, Adobe . . .  Already in active use are most search engines, Alexa, Facebook, etc.

All the futurists like Jeremy Bentham, the movies, the active user applications and social media gossip predict a social panopticon where all there is left for a human to do is sit in a room and conjure reality through their smartphone.

Enjoy looking at wilderness sites on your smartphone? Did it occur to you it would be a genuine experience if you actually went to one instead?

Armageddon proceeds.

Ancient Mariner

Mother Earth ups the ante

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Mariner has harangued his readers about the Armageddon consisting of excessive population, disappearing natural resources, global warming and uncontrolled AI. But Mother Earth has just started to get involved.

In a report from Nature Geoscience –

“North America’s geological core has persisted for billions of years—it’s what scientists call a craton, a massive block of continental rock that withstands the natural recycling system of plate tectonics. Typically, scientists think of cratons as unchanging, nigh on eternal. But new research published on March 28 in Nature Geoscience suggests that a long-lost geological plate may be siphoning rock from the bottom of the North American craton, eroding it from below, right under our feet.

Such a scenario would not be unprecedented—scientists have evidence that the North China craton thinned dramatically millions of years ago—but it would certainly be surprising and intriguing to study in real time. “Cratons are the oldest cores of continents, so they have been sitting near the Earth’s surface for billions of years,” says Claire Currie, a geophysicist at the University of Alberta, who was not involved in the new research. “They’ve persisted through time, so this is quite unusual.”

Mariner could find no projected dates for these events but at some point in the future, the next tectonic shift may turn the Mississippi River into the Mississippi Sea or conversely, The Mississippi Mountains.

Mother Earth’s stash seems unending. Much of Florida and much of the Gulf-facing land in the US will disappear under rising seas; Global warming will disrupt political, economic and environmental conditions that may cause even more famine and unrest among human populations.

Mother Earth wants everyone to know that AI isn’t the only player in the future of us Homos.

Ancient Mariner

The abstract world of physics

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In recent studies a lot of core theories are being modified especially in cosmology where scientists ponder things like dark matter, whether the Universe will expand or contract at the end. Nuclear physics has had to adjust theories about how the Universe executes the dissipation of energy and has discovered that not all electron traffic is local.

It was Nate Silver, a sports odds maker, who said winning the lottery at a million to one is just another experience in a person’s daily life where they win million to one odds every day. While he is correct mathematically, there’s something really special about winning the lottery!

Recently mariner’s wife cleaned the attic. She found a collection of audio diskettes that her mother and sister had made at family events. One diskette, recorded at a cousin reunion in 1981, had copied a family member singing “Tie me kangaroo down sport”. How long has it been since anyone has heard that song or even thought about it – including mariner’s wife.

She listened to the diskette for the first time this morning, which was the first time she has heard or thought about that song since 1981. This afternoon, she went to her writer’s group and, in the midst of the meeting, one of the members began, without provocation from mariner’s wife, quoting ‘Tie me kangaroo down sport’.

As they say, “What are the odds?” Nate Silver was right – she won a million to one event!

Mariner had a similar event when he was returning from a project in Taiwan in 1991. The flight home had a stop in Alaska. He was in a gift shop standing next in line to a Chinese woman in her 50s. She was trying desperately, in mandarin, to explain what she wanted to buy but to no avail. Mariner was eavesdropping and interrupted to say, “She wants to buy scotch tape.” Mind you, his mandarin was quite spotty and he could never claim to be fluent in mandarin but by chance, he knew that word.

When one thinks about the fact that the independent travels for the woman and mariner were quite different in worldly experience and sequence yet there they were together in Nome Alaska, fulfilling Nate’s theory.

In these two examples, note that one piece of information is local and current while the other piece of information comes from far away and has no dependence on the local piece. Welcome to Nuclear Physics.

The brain is trained to work the same way by matching historical experience with immediate experience. For example, have you noticed that you know the words to a pop song you’re listening to today that you learned when you were a teenager? Your brain stored that information a long time ago and sends it to the conscious mind to complete the current experience. It is how humans survive as a species.

Ancient Mariner

 

Trekking amid Armageddon

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In these days, attempting to live a stable life is like being an empty trashcan in a tornado. All the headlines focus on what “Wanna be a dictator” is doing to the fabric of government; there are large situations like global warming, rational health care, personal civil rights, what schoolchildren will not be taught, the emerging isolationism of each state in the Union, and the precarious ripping apart of economic relationships between democratic nations.

That’s just one whirlwind in the storm. Another whirlwind swirls around the corporate freedom to dissemble independent human behavior and replace it with computerized corporate manipulations of behavior and intervene the interface between humans and genuine reality.

Having one’s own private perspective on how to engage in the community has been diminished and largely replaced by the new town square, Facebook – which is a behavior similar to smartphones, which requires no social intervention at all.

Corporations have automated out of existence places and activities where ‘community’ could be felt and engaged in – places like small storefront businesses, shopping malls, and computerized food services that have a negative effect on restaurants.

Slowly, humanity (in the wealthy nations only, there is no life to be had in poor ones) is being corralled into the world of one of mariner’s benchmark icons, the movie Matrix. The model is identical but Matrix says humans were put into wired coffins, their brains filled with artificial life experience and their bodies were used as batteries for the great “system”

In this reality it is the same model but for different reasons. Smartphones replace the coffins, social control replaces batteries. Remember Zuckerberg’s fantasy about everyone having their own online town? Sort of like the false life of humans in Matrix.

But the Armageddon swirl is closing in. Everyone must now store their personal computer backups on the ‘cloud’. Metaphorically, your smartphone provides verbs, your computer provides nouns. Your computer is no more than a data entry keyboard – sort of like a typewriter but wired to the corporate database.

Mother Nature will step in big time in a few years. Not that it will necessarily make things better; Mother owns the largest corporation – the planet.

Mariner is inclined to go looking for his two ponies and a cart. He has no smartphone, will not store his data in the ‘system’ database and continually searches for ways to shop face-to-face with other humans and to spend cash for purchases. He is a Homo sappien approaching extinction.

Ancient Mariner

Medical treatment

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Mariner is a decrepit old man. It seems the medical industry does not understand that a different set of ailments and treatments exist for the ancient class. He admits he has some ire about the situation so he let Amos write this post. Mariner has edited out foul language and libelous accusations:

֎ The suspicions began in 2006. Mariner’s brother went into the hospital to receive a pacemaker. While he was hospitalized, he contracted Clostridioides difficile or shortened, C-Diff. It is a bacterial infestation that attacks the large intestine, causing 10-15 bowel movements per day and loss of body water. For the worst cases, death is the only outcome. His brother went to a hospice for a few months then passed away. On his death certificate, it said cause of death was “kidney failure”. No, it wasn’t kidney failure, it was C-Diff!

Mariner suspects the medical industry uses this misstatement policy to avoid lawsuits. After all, it is general knowledge that C-Diff most often is contracted in hospitals.

֎ The job of primary care physicians (PCP) is to sell prescriptions and placate the patient’s anxiety. PCPs never fix anything. ‘Fix’ means heal it, symptoms gone, life returns to normal. Prescriptions often may influence physical disability but never fix it.

֎ Chiropractors are a lot like PCPs. They focus on joints and do a great job of making the patient feel better for awhile. But the patient will be back with the same ailment. It wasn’t fixed. In ancient patients, sometimes chiropractors branch out into special treatments almost like astrology. Still, nothing is fixed.

֎ PCPs often will send the patient to a ‘specialist’. Common examples are pulmonologist, cardiologist, ear-nose-and-throat, allergist, urologist . . . The specialist has a better set of prescriptions because they are limited to the special treatments the specialist will provide. Specialists may even offer minor surgery. Still, there may be a small improvement but it isn’t fixed. The patient is stuck with a lifelong dependency on the specialist – because the disability will never be fixed.

֎ Physical therapists are another specialty where being fixed is not an option. Mariner offers a personal experience: Told to visit a physical therapist by his PCP, he went to a hospital with all the equipment and routines necessary. First, he was guided to a swimming pool where he was to walk back and forth in waist-deep water. “Wouldn’t it be more effective if I swam?” he asked. “No, we don’t want you to hurt yourself.” was the response.

Then mariner was led to a gym with all the typical equipment. He was asked to step sideways along a bar and ‘to hold on’. After that, he was taken to a wall contraption with blue stretch straps he was to pull toward his chest. Finally, he asked when the therapy would begin, you know, sit-ups, weight lifts, deep squats. “Oh”, she said, You must be one of those ‘all in or go home’ types.” So he went home.

֎ Surgeons. Like just about every old folk, mariner has back problems. There are many ways to improve things with different types of surgery. Mariner did not hold back and went to an internationally known clinic. After dozens of tests and interviews, the final analysis was that four surgeons sat with him, each offering one of four options. One was needles, one was braces, one was intervertebral repair (disc), and one was welding vertebra together. Every one of the surgeons cited high risk of failure and restrained physical ability afterward. None would say it would be fixed. So he went home.

Being fixed by medical treatment is not an option.

Ancient Mariner

 

More info for peripheral view

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Everyone, around the world in fact, is inundated with the Trump phenomenon. Everyone around the world is troubled that their economics are so vulnerable to disruption. This vulnerability has a broader, peripheral circumstance that can explain this vulnerability: environmental resources are running out – whether they are elements, minerals, biomass, space or the effects of global warming.

As the population post cited, in all of human history, the population reached 1 billion. Then from 1800 to 1987, the population grew by 4 billion. What grew as well was the rate of consumption. Human laissez-faire about consumption is reflected in human treatment of the resources available: The world generates nearly two billion tons of municipal solid waste each year (MSW).  MSW includes trash from companies, buildings, houses, yards, and small businesses. The United States and China lead the way.

Mariner’s wife, a librarian, has a program where she reads stories to preschool children. She brought home a book which, with astounding clarity, demonstrated human disregard for environmental resources. The book is ‘One Little Bag – An Amazing Journey’ by Henry Cole.  All pages are drawings showing a small boy’s affection for his paper bag by always having it at hand for whatever purpose; it is the tale of a little boy who carried his one original lunch bag to school for over 700 lunches even using it to offer a wedding ring to his girlfriend. The pages also show all the industrial steps required to make a paper bag from chopping down the tree to paper manufacture, delivery, etc. One cannot read this simple story without realizing how trashy humans are. What is important is this trashy behavior does not show concern for the more important issue: disappearing resources.

Wastefulness is not limited to MSW. About four or five years ago, mariner watched a TV interview with a Federal Department head (mariner apologizes for forgetting the name). He was an advocate for expanding our ability to sustain natural resources in order to offset the impact of increasing consumption caused by rapid population growth. He addressed many industrial practices and the careless lack of concern by humans who consume large, irreplaceable areas of the environment just for profit or pleasure.

The Department Head went so far as to challenge lawns. “We need the space to grow food! Every bit of space around the home should be dedicated to self sufficiency, to help ease the pressure caused by disappearing food sources.”

It isn’t just food. Trickling through the news today is the concern for how much electricity and water the new computer age consumes. Computers alone have a special shortage in several minerals including Lithium, Cobalt and Zinc. Microsoft has just contracted the use of a nuclear power plant.

Mariner has a personal example: He and his wife maintain bird feeders. Many who offer this service find it invaded by squirrels. Mariner disregards this complaint knowing that he and his fellow Homos have leveled the natural environment of the squirrel to build huge, clunky houses, streets, tennis courts and businesses. The least we Homos can do is to be sympathetic to the shortage of food for the squirrel and any other wildlife that may still live here. It is interesting that only Homos need 1,200 square feet for a nest, plus lumber, steel, plastic, electricity, heating fuel, TV, a phone, a garage and two stories. Meanwhile, tigers and elephants are disappearing and wolves can’t live in the Midwest which is their natural environment because Homos will shoot them.

This peripheral information may shed light on why economies are not robust, why food and energy prices continue to rise and why every planet resource is at risk.

Ancient Mariner

 

Info for the reader’s peripheral vision

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The chart above illustrates how world population has changed throughout history.

At the dawn of agriculture, about 8000 B.C., the population of the world was approximately 5 million. Over the 8,000-year period up to 1 A.D. it grew to 200 million (some estimate 300 million or even 600, suggesting how imprecise population estimates of early historical periods can be), with a growth rate of under 0.05% per year.

A tremendous change occurred with the industrial revolution: whereas it had taken all of human history until around 1800 for world population to reach one billion, the second billion was achieved in only 130 years (1930), the third billion in 30 years (1960), the fourth billion in 15 years (1974), and the fifth billion in only 13 years (1987).

  • During the 20th century alone, the population in the world has grown from 1.65 billion to 6 billion.
  • In 1970, there were roughly half as many people in the world as there are now.
  • Because of declining growth rates, it will now take over 200 years to double again.

A necessary part of this post is to read the post ‘Population’ added on October 9, 2023. (Use the search box at the top, hit ‘enter’ After search, if the date is wrong, scroll down) It is a scientific report on rat and mouse population studies, which may be more significant today because of the dip at the top of the chart above. Briefly, as the population became excessive, the mouse society behaved just as humans do today with intensely and brutally defined classes from the untouched ‘wealthy’ mice to the militants, and to the deprived and brutalized underclass.

Information that comes from the planet’s side of things may offer collateral proof of the invasion of Homo sapiens:

• According to a new report from the World Wide Fund For Nature (formerly the World Wildlife Fund), there has been an average 60 percent decline in vertebrate animal species population — you know, like mammals, fish, birds, etc. — between 1970 and 2014. “Earth is losing biodiversity at a rate seen only during mass extinctions,” the report reads. The cause? “Exploding human consumption.” [BBC]

• Today, given the vast prairie between the Mississippi River and Eastern Colorado that existed before Europeans visited, only 1% exists today. Further, as a percentage of all living creatures, only 1% is wildlife.

There are just a few stable nation ‘herds’ left – and none have large populations.

Perhaps many of our political concerns may be influenced by this peripheral view of population. Will the new culture be socialistic? corporately controlled? controlled by survival of the fittest? Or, shudder, will humans fix the population issue by tossing about a few nuclear bombs? The mice in the study didn’t have nuclear bombs so there are no statistics about survival.

Ancient Mariner

 

 

 

Am I important?

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This post is about the issue of self worth. But first, mariner’s comment on trends in automation as presented by Wiley’s desk calendar:

Perhaps the Egyptians had it right all along – hieroglyphics.

 

֎ Having read the USA Today article about how mail was delivered by boat to Lake Geneva residents and how important that was to their sense of community, Mariner came to realize how the shifts in many social confrontations from mail delivery to Social Security, senior citizen support, family security and future job security can challenge a person’s sense of security within themselves. The smartphone, too, exposes the ego to damaging information, conversations and distorts behavioral relations. Even conversations between friends and family, split by defensive opinions, confronts an individual’s self-evaluation.

Humans, despite their self-declared independence from all natural processes, are an anatomical creature that first evolved 300,000 years ago – the first ‘Homo’. Homo is a herding creature – just like cows and sheep and horses and monkeys and fish, etc . Homo is embedded with conscious, subconscious and learned behavior that will, whether desired or not, identify their place in the herd. ‘Herd’ is a desire to associate with others and can be a family, neighborhood, community, region, nation or global population.

Using our peripheral vision, one has a thought that perhaps there are too many people in the United States which causes imbalances in the herd; perhaps one senses that, with all the industrial, technical and agricultural advances since the 16th century, none has provided enough loaves of bread for everyone at the same time. Imbalances in role, privilege and opportunity emerge within the herd that will affect one’s sense of value and place as a member of the herd.

Two tropes are an independent force on the members of the herd: “Survival of the fittest” and “Power corrupts”. These are eccentric behaviors that go beyond their intended role in herd wellbeing and occur when the herd is distressed.

How does one measure their acceptance and satisfaction within the herd?

⇒ Do you have a positive feeling about your role in your family? Do you feel members respect and care about you? Do you feel responsible for their well being? Do you feel that you can respond to their needs?

⇒ Do the people in your daily life, especially your neighbors, show companionship and acceptance? Does your presence (home, dress, community participation) seem to be in accord with the neighborhood?

⇒ Does your income meet your expenses? Do you feel your financial future is sustainable? Be clear about this – is insecurity the result of your behavior or is it the behavior of others? Every herd member owes allegiance to the herd but does the herd treat you accordingly?

⇒ Are you confident about who you are in this world? While the herd is supposed to be a source of survival in difficult times, do you feel you can survive by changing your association with the herd?

⇒ Do you have a satisfactory personal life that has companionship, entertainment through hobbies and group activities?

֎ All these comparisons are built from conscious and subconscious feelings as well as social and financial circumstances. Feel free to engage friends and family to clarify relationships that seem improper. It is important, as well, to take a long look at the herd. Things may be askew for peripheral reasons. Knowing about them may help shape your own survival skills.

The MAGA surge is the result of herd disrespect and abuse over the last forty years. Obviously they feel the herd has not respected their contribution.

Ancient Mariner

 

 

 

 

How the brain would prefer to read written text

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This topic is one of those ‘Where did this come from?’ out-of-the-blue subjects no one ever thinks about but, as is his wont, mariner became interested in the process.

As this post is read, is the reader reciting most of the words in their head? If you must recite each and every word in your head – called subvocalizing – you are a slow reader, about 200 words per minute. The average novel has about 100,000 words so it would take the reader just over 8½ hours without stopping, to read an average-sized novel.

Many people who read regularly, whether at work or for pleasure, subvocalize only key words in a sentence, often overlooking tense, adverbs or secondary phrases. Those who read in this style can raise their speed to about 850 words per minute cutting the novel to about 1¾ hours to be read.

Decades ago mariner took a class called “Evelyn Woods Speed Reading Class”. The objective was to learn how to read without any subvocalization at all – which is difficult to acquire. He was able to reach 1,500 words per minute which means he could read that novel in just under an hour. Amazingly, the best students reached around 8,000 words per minute. They could read that novel in 10 minutes. The trouble is that avoiding subvocalization is difficult and the average reader like mariner soon lost his speed down to about 1,000 words per minute.

These numbers sound fictitious but they are true. What brought this speed reading class back from memory is that he realized that if the brain could only use the eye part of the senses and forego all the mental imprints the ear and mouth have endured to learn to read, write and speak, it would be a lot more efficient. As mentioned in a recent post, the reasoning part of the brain is in a different section from the sense-support part of the brain.

This led mariner to marvel at how fast creatures who don’t use organized language must process reality only with the eyes. It is similar to dogs in a way because a dog’s eyesight isn’t that good but the dog’s reality is interpreted through its smell which is 1,000 times more sensitive than a human. [For this reason mariner always sneaks a bite of supper to the dog who is well aware of all the odors of the meal.]

But the real phenomenon is how fast the brain is. AI is a slowpoke. Whatever the creature, using only the eyes to garner information about reality and to resolve circumstances real time is magical. He suspects even the eyes are modified to see a broader visual reality.

Ancient Mariner