Like the scene on the battlefront in a war, there is much smoke, flying debris, destruction and conflict, but the scene is a battle for the ethos of the United States. Mariner decided to get above the commotion by sitting on one of 8,000 satellites in low Earth orbit and looking down at the fray.
Battles for ethos occur, on average, every 61 years. Unfortunately, every change in ethos included a military war.[1] The nation has begun another battle for ethos, launched by the election of Donald Trump.
Ethos is a word that describes the innate spirit and purpose of an institution; in this case the institution is the United States. Ethos is an attitude carried by every citizen without conscious awareness yet it shapes the self-perception of what every citizen believes is a national role in society, morality and among other nations.
The political energy required to shift a national ethos is immense. It takes time, economic transition, generational adaptation, international acceptance and a period of stability. Even so, there are citizens who continue to oppose change for many reasons, e.g., racism and, currently, Reaganomics. In each transition of ethos there are always progressives and conservatives but a third issue is necessary – usually requiring cultural adaptation. Today, it is the global pressure on the role of a nation where technology ignores boundaries and global warming threatens global economics.
When will military war occur? It seems there is a point where the old ways want no more change and like the way things are whereas new behaviors, economic opportunity and moral stress want to move on.
Will war emerge in Taiwan and the Pacific Rim?
Will extended war erupt in Europe versus Russia?
Is it possible that war could erupt in the U.S. between populated states and Dixie all over again – a war fought in the Constitution?
Could it be an economic war between plutocracy and democracy?
Sitting on this satellite, mariner perceives one thing: It is far from over.
Ancient Mariner
[1] Independence 1776, Civil 1861, WW1 1914, Vietnam, 1975, in process 2016.