The Morning Line – February 3 2016

Here’s the morning line out of Vegas:

Hillary Clinton 10/11 91%
Marco Rubio 3/1 33%
Donald Trump 7/1 14%
Bernie Sanders 8/1 12%
Ted Cruz 16/1 6%
Jeb Bush 50/1 2%
Michael Bloomberg 50/1 2%
Joe Biden 80/1 1.25%
Chris Christie 100/1 1%
John Kasich 200/1 ½%
Ben Carson 700/1 1/10 of Even less than less than 1%
Carly Fiorina 800/1 About the size of a human skin cell
Rand Paul 999/1 infinitesimal
Martin OMalley 250/1 Suspended campaign
Rick Santorum 999/1 Suspended campaign
Mike Huckabee 2000/1 Suspended campaign

Hillary held the same odds as always; interestingly, one bookie has taken bets for Hillary NOT to win the 2016 election at even odds. The biggest positive shift was in favor of Marco who jumped from 10/1 to 3/1, moving from fourth place to second. The biggest negative shift was Donald who dropped from 5/6 to 7/1 moving to third place. Ted continues to be unpopular with the betting crowd, staying in fifth place despite his win in Iowa; odds dropped from 12/1 to 16/1. Bernie held his odds but dropped one spot to fourth.

As to candidates with longer odds, most betting houses have stopped posting a morning line; the listed odds were taken from just two bookies.

 

Ancient Mariner